Its interesting to note that this index 'lagged' the QE2 euphoria - sure there was a bounce in Sept but the index did not really shoot higher until Dec/Jan (as denoted by that column ox X's with the number 1 in it (1 being January)). Note that that move pushed the index up towards the 56.5 target given by the initial reveral in September.Following that move through Jan, the index has reversed and on this 0.5x3 closing point and figure chart, there is currently an active target to the downside in place of 42.
The 0.5x3 chart based on the daily high/low method is also pointing lower. Having peaked in Feb at 55.5, the move down from the top as denoted by the column of 7 o's gave a target of 45 which was activated by the next column of 0's. The bears have been successful in pushing this index lower - since April, each time the bulls came back in and moved the price up, sellers came back in at lower levels than seen previously.
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