Welcome to EV's point and figures. This blog is dedicated to the use of point and figure charts in technical analysis.

Although P&F first appeared in charts in the 1930's, it is an often overlooked techique for analysing stocks and charts. A poor relation compared to line and bar charts and their range of momentum indicators. Yet few charts provide a clearer picture of the daily battle between bulls and bears for market control.

Like most methods, it should not be used in isolation. It should form part of an analysts 'tool box' and be used with other techniques to help form an overall view.

The charts that appear on this blog and any accompanying comments are purely for information purposes only - my own personal take on where the prices may be heading. They do not constitute investment advice.

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

VIX - gaps

See the gap between 13.90 and 13.75.

The gaps on the VIX consistently get filled. Likely this one will before the higher gap between 17.54 and 16.47

Friday, August 10, 2012

RUT - more upside to come

This 5x3 closing PF of the RUT 2000 suggests a bit more upside. The longer term (blue) bullish support line has not been broken. The target of 875 given from the recent low would challenge the May 11 high. We also have a more recent double top buy signal with a target of 845. This 845 figure is also corroborated on the same 5x3 chart but one that uses the 'high/low' technique.

Thursday, August 9, 2012

VIX - getting close to completing H&S target

There is a very nice symmetary on this hourly chart of the VIX. 

For me, the VIX will need to get back down to between 14 and 15 then form a base, which could co-incide with SPX testing its previous high of 1,422.

One thing that can be said about the VIX (just by observing the chart above) is that gaps do get filled and there us a nice gap (circled) between 16.5 and 18. The only question is whether it gets filled prior to going down to the 14-15 range or after.  I'd suggest the latter, such seems to be the renewed mood of 'optimism' running through the market!

And here's the VIX with SPX overlay. I can't count waves to save my life but a traditional double top at 1,422 certainly looks plausible!